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This paper relates Keynes's discussions of money, the state theory of money, financial markets, investors' expectations, uncertainty, and liquidity preference to the dynamics of government bond yields for countries with monetary sovereignty. Keynes argued that the central bank can influence the...
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from a sharp rise in investors’ liquidity preference and the fear of capital losses due to uncertainty about the direction … of vigorous fiscal policy and employment creation to induce a higher expected marginal efficiency of capital, while the … central bank stabilizes the yield curve and reduces interest rate volatility to mitigate investors’ expectations of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453035
US government indebtedness and fiscal deficits increased notably following the global financial crisis. Yet long-term interest rates and US Treasury yields have remained remarkably low. Why have long-term interest rates stayed low despite the elevated government indebtedness? What are the...
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This paper analyzes the dynamics of long-term US Treasury security yields from a Keynesian perspective using daily data. Keynes held that the short-term interest rate is the main driver of the long-term interest rate. In this paper, the daily changes in long-term Treasury security yields are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059722
The short-term interest rate is the main driver of the Commonwealth of Australia government bonds' nominal yields. This paper empirically models the dynamics of government bonds' nominal yields using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. Keynes held that the central bank exerts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890462
Long-term interest rates in advanced economies have been low since the global financial crisis. However, in the United States the Federal Reserve could begin to hike its policy rate, the federal funds target rate, before the end of the year. In the United Kingdom, the Bank of England could...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389243
This paper investigates the long-term determinants of Indian government bonds' (IGB) nominal yields. It examines whether John Maynard Keynes's supposition that short-term interest rates are the key driver of long-term government bond yields holds over the long-run horizon, after controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591493