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degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303
The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional … Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) models fitted to ten years of daily data for FTSE. As a benchmark, we used the realized volatility (RV … standard volatility models if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203997
The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and GARCH(1,1) models fitted to twenty plus … years of daily data for three indices. As a benchmark, I use the realized volatility (RV) for the S&P 500, DOW JONES and … volatility models, if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV predictor, at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384599
degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366935
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008689075
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784942
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003760022
degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Carefully modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149893
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724823
Value-at-Risk (VaR) has become the universally accepted metric in the financial services industry for internal control and for regulatory reporting. This has focused attention on methods of measuring, estimating and forecasting lower tail risk. One promising technique is Quantile Regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139093