In this paper we review the literature on the short term predictability of stock prices conditional on large prior price changes. This research area is characterized by a large number of studies reflecting different markets, time periods, methodologies and model parameters. While most of the...

This paper shows that short horizon stock returns can be predicted to a much greater degree by past price movements than would be anticipated given their low autocorrelation. This raises doubts over the reliability of the autocorrelation statistic as a measure of stock market predictability.

We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major global stock market indices have a particular form of non-linear dependence on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. The observed...

This paper documents strong evidence for short term predictability of individual stocks in the London Stock Exchange. We find empirical evidence for price reversals after large price changes and price continuation after small price changes. Our results indicate that large companies seem to react...

We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major stock world market indices are non-linearly dependent on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. This property can be captured by a...