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uncertainty inherent in the innovation process and (2) a systematic evaluation of the tradeoffs in investment allocations across …
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Expert elicitation is a process for eliciting subjective probability distributions from experts about items of interest to decision makers. These methods have been increasingly applied in the energy domain to collect information on the future cost and performance of specific energy technologies...
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Mitigating climate change will require innovation in energy technologies. Policy makers are faced with the question of … how to promote this innovation, and whether to focus on a few technologies or to spread their bets. We present results on …
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Characterizing the anticipated performance of energy technologies to inform policy decisions increasingly relies on expert elicitation. Knowledge about how elicitation design factors impact the probabilistic estimates emerging from these studies is however scarce. We focus on nuclear power, a...
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