paper analyzes the impact of model complexity on the valuation of project financed investments along two dimensions: The NPV distribution and the expected default probability of the project. Model complexity is separated in forecast and simulation complexity. Thereby, we aim to identify elements...

In the ideal Black-Scholes world, financial time series are assumed 1) stationary (time homogeneous) and 2) having conditionally normal distribution given the past. These two assumptions have been widely-used in many methods such as the RiskMetrics, one risk management method considered as...

Over recent years, study on risk management has been prompted by the Basel committee for regular banking supervisory. There are however limitations of some widely-used risk management methods that either calculate risk measures under the Gaussian distributional assumption or involve numerical...

Risk management technology applied to high dimensional portfolios needs simple and fast methods for calculation of Value-at-Risk (VaR). The multivariate normal framework provides a simple off-the-shelf methodology but lacks the heavy tailed distributional properties that are observed in data. A...

In this paper we propose the GHADA risk management model that is based on the generalized hyperbolic (GH) distribution and on a nonparametric adaptive methodology. Compared to the normal distribution, the GH distribution possesses semi-heavy tails and represents the financial risk factors more...

We consider the modelling of credit migration risk and the pricing of migration derivativesour approach enlarges the traditional setup where credit risk is based on default solely.We implement the Regime Shifting Markov Mixture model developed in Andersson (2007)and Andersson and Vanini (2008)...

We consider the modelling of credit migration risk and the pricing of migrationderivatives. To construct a Point-in-Time (PIT) rating migration matrix as the underlyingvalue for derivative pricing we show first that the Affine Markov Chain models isnot sufficient to generate PIT migration...

Market liquidity is the ease of trading an asset. Its risk is the potential loss, because a security can only be traded at high or prohibitive costs. While the omnipresence and importance of market liquidity is widely acknowledged, it has long remained a more or less elusive concept. Treatment...

We analyse whether family firms differ from non-family firms in terms of business segment and geographical diversification or the application of currency hedging instruments. This analysis is based on a unique dataset of 339 publicly listed companies (1,561 firm years) in the German Prime...