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Exit strategies and their impact on the Euro area : a model based view
Belke, Ansgar - 2014
Dieser Beitrag untersucht die Argumente für und gegen einen Ausstieg aus der expansiven Geldpolitik. Der Fokus liegt … dabei auf der Betrachtung der Effekte eines Ausstiegs der amerikanischen Notenbank Fed auf die Eurozone. Dies erscheint … geldpolitischen Ausstiegs der Fed auf die Eurozone auf Basis eines IWF-Modells dar. Abschließend werden die Optionen der Geldpolitk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010227698
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Exit strategies and their impact on the Euro area : a model based view
Belke, Ansgar - 2014
This paper comments on the pros and cons of exit strategies. The focus is on the impact on the Euro area economy of the exit from unconventional monetary policies (UMP) by the Fed, which, appears to be the first central bank to lay out an exiting path. In this context, it discusses the issue of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371341
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Inflation during the pandemic: what happened? what is next?
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR) model. We report three main results. First, the decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054
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Inflation during the pandemic : what happened? what is next?
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012586458
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Inflation during the pandemic : what happened? what is next?
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588342
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Portfolio choice of financial investors and European business cycle convergence : a panel analysis for EU countries
Belke, Ansgar; Schneider, Jennifer - 2013
We investigate the linkage between business cycle convergence and financial portfolio choice for a panel of 18 EU countries. We construct an index of similarity of financial portfolios which we then put into context with the view that “the financial world” has an impact on business cycles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255115
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Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178610
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Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224963
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Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020 - This version: February 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170616
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Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012210146