The authors argue that the institutional dimension of the Bank of England monetary policy and the role the UK HM Treasury assumes in this framework are both firmly based on the New Consensus in Macroeconomics (NCM). This is also the theoretical framework upon which the inflation targeting...

Within the framework of macroeconomic policy and theory over the past twenty years or so, a major shift has occurred regarding the relative importance given of monetary policy versus fiscal policy. The former has gained considerably in stature, while the latter is rarely mentioned. Further,...

A conventional finding of recursive structural VAR (SVAR) analyses is the price puzzle namely the positive relationship between interest rates and inflation. We employ a Markov regime-switching structural VAR (MRS-SVAR) to investigate whether the price puzzle is present at regimes where there is...

This paper examines the operations of the European Central Bank (ECB) with respect to monetary policy, along with its effects on inflation, exchange rate and financial stability. It also discusses how the regulatory role of the ECB should be improved in the future. In this way, the paper...

Two alternative functional forms of the demand for money that focus on how an economy as a whole adjusts its cash balances have been discussed in the literature. One functional form is obtained by regarding the money supply as exogenous and the price level as endogenous and the other by...

The focus of this paper is on the extent to which the macroeconomic models developed by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) are consistent with the 'New Consensus Macroeconomics' (NCM for short). The macroeconometric models are important in two respects. First, they are...

This paper demonstrates that recent influential contributions to monetary policy imply an emerging consensus whereby neither rigid rules nor complete discretion are found optimal. Instead, middle-ground monetary regimes based on rules (operative under ‘normal’ circumstances) to anchor...

This paper demonstrates that recent influential contributions to monetary policy imply an emerging consensus whereby neither rigid rules nor complete discretion are found optimal. Instead, middle-ground monetary regimes based on rules (operative under ‘normal’ circumstances) to anchor...

In this paper, the author aims to question the assumptions underlying the economic case for the independent European Central Bank (ECB) and argues that although a European Clearing Agency (ECA) of the type Keynes envisaged for the international economy is not a panacea for the economic problems...

The aim of this paper is to deal with the empirical aspects of the new monetary policy framework, known as Inflation Targeting. Applying Intervention Analysis to multivariate Structural Time Series models, which avoids certain biases encountered in the use of conventional regression estimators,...