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Empirical macromodels under test : a comparative simulation study of the employment effects of a revenue neutral cut in social security contributions
Buscher, Herbert S.; Buslei, Hermann; Göggelmann, Klaus; … - 1998 - Preliminary version
In the paper we simulate a revenue-neutral cut in the social security contribution rate using five different types of macro- / microeconomic models, namely two models based on time-series data where the labour market is modelled basically demand oriented, two models of the class of computable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442295
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Lasso-type and heuristic strategies in model selection and forecasting
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2012
. The two strategies are compared by means of a Monte-Carlo simulation study together with an empirical application to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630302
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Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations : an application to fiscal policy simulations using an aggregate disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994
Franz, Wolfgang; Göggelmann, Klaus; Schellhorn, Martin; … - 1998
Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations … possible margin. Because of nonlinearities confidence intervals for the simulation results have to be obtained by means of … stochastic simulations. The main contribution of this paper consists in presenting the simulation results. The robustness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441040
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Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Stochastic Simulations : An Application to Policy Simulations Using a Disequilibrium Model of the West German Economy 1960-1994
Franz, Wolfgang; Goeggelmann, Klaus; Schellhorn, Martin; … - 2000
Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations …. The application of a macroeconometric disequilibrium model of the West German economy to a fiscal policy simulation is … the simulation results have to be obtained by means of stochastic simulations. The robustness of the results is assessed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014153608
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Costly, but (relatively) ineffective? : an assessment of Germany's temporary VAT rate reduction during the Covid-19 pandemic
Baudisch, Victoria; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2023
We evaluate Germany's temporary value-added tax (VAT) rate reduction as a tool to stimulate consumer spending during the Covid-19 pandemic using a comparative case study approach. We construct a credible counterfactual for Germany in a two-step procedure. First, we carry out a careful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014275958
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Costly, But (Relatively) Ineffective? An Assessment of Germany's Temporary VAT Rate Reduction During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Baudisch, Victoria; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2023
We evaluate Germany’s temporary value-added tax (VAT) rate reduction as a tool to stimulate consumer spending during the Covid-19 pandemic using a comparative case study approach. We construct a credible counterfactual for Germany in a two-step procedure. First, we carry out a careful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356603
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Costly, but (Relatively) Ineffective? An Assessment of Germany’s Temporary VAT Rate Reduction During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Baudisch, Victoria; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2023
We evaluate Germany’s temporary value-added tax (VAT) rate reduction as a tool to stimulate consumer spending during the Covid-19 pandemic using a comparative case study approach. We construct a credible counterfactual for Germany in a two-step procedure. First, we carry out a careful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350793
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Costly, but (relatively) ineffective? : an assessment of Germany's temporary VAT rate reduction during the Covid-19 pandemic
Baudisch, Victoria; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2023
We evaluate Germany's temporary value-added tax (VAT) rate reduction as a tool to stimulate consumer spending during the Covid-19 pandemic using a comparative case study approach. We construct a credible counterfactual for Germany in a two-step procedure. First, we carry out a careful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259264
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Investment and employment adjustment after unification : some results from a macroeconometric disequilibrium model
Radowski, Daniel; Smolny, Werner; Winker, Peter - 1999
The macroeconomic development in West Germany in the aftermath of unification was characterized by a boom period in 1990/1991, a deep recession in 1992/1993 and a slow recovery since then. In East Germany, in contrast, unification induced a breakdown of production and employment followed by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443447