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This paper presents a procedure for estimating and forecasting disease scenarios for COVID-19 using a structural SIR model of the pandemic. Our procedure combines the flexibility of noteworthy reduced-form approaches for estimating the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic to date with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481529
over the next 12-18 months. An SIR model is a Markov model of the spread of an epidemic in a population in which the total … recovered (or dead) and no longer contagious (R). How an epidemic plays out over time is determined by the transition rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482048
over the next 12-18 months. An SIR model is a Markov model of the spread of an epidemic in a population in which the total … recovered (or dead) and no longer contagious (R). How an epidemic plays out over time is determined by the transition rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838984
This paper presents a procedure for estimating and forecasting disease scenarios for COVID-19 using a structural SIR model of the pandemic. Our procedure combines the flexibility of noteworthy reduced-form approaches for estimating the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic to date with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831838
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