Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 45
Cover Image
Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany : An Assessment of Accuracy and Dispersion
Fritsche, Ulrich; Döpke, Jörg - 2004
Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970 to 2003 we find that growth and inflation forecasts are unbiased and weakly, but not strongly efficient. Besides the effect of diverging forecasting dates, no other substantial differences in forecasting quality are found among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260675
Cover Image
Real-time macroeconomic data and ex ante predictability of stock returns
Döpke, Jörg; Hartmann, Daniel; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2006
We report results on the ex ante predictability of monthly excess stock returns in Germany using real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295798
Cover Image
Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany
Döpke, Jörg - 2000
The paper investigates the sources of macroeconomic forecast errors in Germany. The predictions of the so-called "six … Arbeitsgemeinschaft wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute in Deutschland. Die Prognosefehler werden im Rahmen eines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476550
Cover Image
The economic value of business cycle forecasts for potential investors : evidence from Germany
Döpke, Jörg; Müller, Karsten; Tegtmeier, Lars - In: Research in international business and finance 46 (2018), pp. 445-461
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983697
Cover Image
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts : evidence from a survey of professional forecasters
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, Gabi - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 239 (2019) 2, pp. 203-241
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023169
Cover Image
Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009
Based on annual data for growth and inflation forecasts for Germany covering the time span from 1970 to 2007 and up to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425865
Cover Image
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts : evidence from a survey among professional forecasters
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, Gaby - 2017
The paper reports results of a survey among active forecasters of the German business cycle. Relying on 82 respondents from 37 different institutions, we investigate what models and theories forecasters subscribe to and find that they are pronounced conservative in the sense, that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159601
Cover Image
Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts : evidence from a survey among professional forecasters
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Waldhof, Gabi - 2017
The paper reports results of a survey among active forecasters of the German business cycle. Relying on 82 respondents from 37 different institutions, we investigate what models and theories forecasters subscribe to and find that they are pronounced conservative in the sense, that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011685558
Cover Image
Has macroeconomic forecasting changed after the Great Recession? : panel-based evidence on accuracy and forecaster behaviour from Germany
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Müller, Karsten - 2018
Based on a panel of annual data for 17 growth and inflation forecasts from 14 institutions for Germany, we analyse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852757
Cover Image
Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland
Döpke, Jörg; Fritsche, Ulrich; Gottschalk, Jan; … - 1999
Wohnungsbauinvestitionen in Deutschland untersucht. Die Indikatoren werden auf Basis theoretischer Erwägungen oder wegen ihres technischen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495601