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Causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South Africa: evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model

Nasr, Adnen Ben; Balcilar, Mehmet; Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen; … - In: Emerging markets review 24 (2015), pp. 46-68

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538531

The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016

This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324

Does economic policy uncertainty predict exchange rate returns and volatility? : evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Kyei, Clement; Wohar, … - In: Open economies review 27 (2016) 2, pp. 229-250

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591762

Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium : the impact of monetary policy uncertainty on insurance premiums in Japan

Balcilar, Mehmet; Olasehinde-Williams, Godwin Oluseye; … - In: International journal of monetary economics and finance 12 (2019) 3, pp. 233-247

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116071

What drives the premium labour model, beta instability risk or human capital? : evidence for the UK

Soufian, Mona; McMillan, David G.; Horsburgh, Stuart - In: Managerial finance 39 (2013) 12, pp. 1188-1200

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197615

Insurance and economic policy uncertainty

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Lee, Chien-chiang; … - In: Research in international business and finance 54 (2020), pp. 1-13

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012581325

A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters

Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 47 (2020) 3, pp. 611-641

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012289234

The role of economic and financial uncertainties in predicting commodity futures returns and volatility : evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test

Bahloul, Walid; Balcilar, Mehmet; Cuñado Eizaguirre, Juncal - In: Journal of multinational financial management 45 (2018), pp. 52-71

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012055774

Is there a risk and return relation?

Fifield, S. G. M.; McMillan, David G.; McMillan, Fiona J. - In: The European journal of finance 26 (2020) 11, pp. 1075-1101

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264949

Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment

Balcilar, Mehmet; Uzuner, Gizem; Bekun, Festus Victor; … - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 50 (2023) 2, pp. 523-549

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251826