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We test the hypothesis that retail investors' attraction to lottery stocks induces overvaluation, and is amplified by high attention and social interactions. The lottery premium (negative abnormal returns) is stronger for high-retail-ownership stocks—especially those that also have high...
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We find that among stocks dominated by retail investors, the lottery anomaly is amplified by high investor attention (proxied by high analyst coverage, salient earnings surprises, or recency of extreme positive returns) and intense social interactions (proxied by Facebook social connectedness or...
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This is the first study on the risk-neutral distribution of option returns. We derive solutions for the risk … further out-of-the-money (in-the-money). The risk-neutral moments of call returns are increasing in the volatility of the … with put return moments. We find that the magnitudes of the risk-neutral and physical moments differ substantially …
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We develop an ex-ante measure of expected stock returns based on analyst price targets. We then show that ex-ante measures of volatility, skewness, and kurtosis implied from stock option prices are positively related to the cross section of ex-ante expected stock returns. While expected returns...
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