We develop an ex-ante measure of expected stock returns based on analyst price targets. We then show that ex-ante measures of volatility, skewness, and kurtosis implied from stock option prices are positively related to the cross section of ex-ante expected stock returns. While expected returns...

This paper reexamines the relation between various downside risk measures and future equity returns in a global context that spans 26 developed markets. We find that there is no significantly positive relation between systematic downside risk and the cross-section of equity returns, and in fact,...

Growth options increase idiosyncratic skewness and reduce risk exposure, and thereby create the appearance of profitability, distress, lotteryness, and volatility anomalies, influencing their returns via the channel of idiosyncratic skewness. To capture these effects, we estimate expected...

We investigate the relation between downside beta and stock returns in a global context using more than 170 million daily return observations. Contrary to the findings in the U.S. equity market, we show that downside beta does not explain the cross-sectional differences in future and...

We investigate whether time-series volatility in book-to-market (UNC) is priced in equity returns. UNC captures uncertainty about the current value of the firm's portfolio of assets-in-place and real options, and reflects changes in moneyness and uncertainty in the exercise of these options. UNC...

We propose a theoretically motivated and empirically robust factor model for option returns. The model consists of factors based on option illiquidity, option price, implied-minus-realized volatility, implied-minus-realized skewness, implied-minus-realized kurtosis, and the option market factor....

We investigate the role of economic uncertainty in the cross-sectional pricing of individual stocks and equity portfolios. We estimate stock exposure to an economic uncertainty index and show that stocks in the lowest uncertainty beta decile generate 6% more annualized risk-adjusted return...

Hedge funds' extensive use of derivatives, short-selling, and leverage and their dynamic trading strategies create significant non-normalities in their return distributions. Hence, the traditional performance measures fail to provide an accurate characterization of the relative strength of hedge...

Hedge funds' extensive use of derivatives, short-selling, and leverage and their dynamic trading strategies create significant non-normalities in their return distributions. Hence, the traditional performance measures fail to provide an accurate characterization of the relative strength of hedge...

For the last three decades, one of the most extensively investigated topics in financial economics is the crosssectional variation in stock returns. There are certain patterns in equity portfolios that are considered as anomalies because they cannot be explained by well-known asset pricing...