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This paper examines the intertemporal relation between downside risk and expected stock returns. Value at risk (VaR …), expected shortfall, and tail risk are used as measures of downside risk to determine the existence and significance of a risk …-return tradeoff. We find a positive and significant relation between downside risk and the portfolio returns on NYSE …
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We develop an ex-ante measure of expected stock returns based on analyst price targets. We then show that ex-ante measures of volatility, skewness, and kurtosis implied from stock option prices are positively related to the cross section of ex-ante expected stock returns. While expected returns...
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We test the hypothesis that retail investors' attraction to lottery stocks induces overvaluation, and is amplified by high attention and social interactions. The lottery premium (negative abnormal returns) is stronger for high-retail-ownership stocks—especially those that also have high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891568
This is the first study on the risk-neutral distribution of option returns. We derive solutions for the risk … further out-of-the-money (in-the-money). The risk-neutral moments of call returns are increasing in the volatility of the … with put return moments. We find that the magnitudes of the risk-neutral and physical moments differ substantially …
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months in the future. Long-short portfolios sorted on past liquidity shocks generate a raw and risk-adjusted return of more … liquidity shocks, different sample periods, and after controlling for various risk factors and firm characteristics. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009703602