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We examine the impact of the global economic activity, oil supply, oil-specific consumption demand, and oil inventory demand shocks on the expected aggregate skewness of the United States (US) economy, obtained based on a data-rich environment involving 211 macroeconomic and financial variables...
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This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541711
A safe asset's real value is insulated from shocks, including declines in GDP from rare macroeconomic disasters. However, in a Lucas-tree world, the aggregate risk is given by the process for GDP and cannot be altered by the creation of safe assets. Therefore, in the equilibrium of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956330
We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the long-run stock market variances and correlations … correlation, even after accounting for a number of alternative uncertainty measures, and that it performs better out …-of-sample than most of the alternative uncertainty measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855094
A safe asset is one whose real value is insulated from shocks, including declines in GDP associated with rare macroeconomic disasters. However, in a Lucas-tree world, the aggregate risk is given by the specified process for GDP and cannot be altered by the creation of safe assets. Therefore, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026011