Does "infant industry" preferential access durably boost export performance? This paper exploits significant trade …-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) in 2005 is used to assess whether apparel export expansions survived the erosion of preferences. To find a … causal impact of these changes, we use a triple-differences regression and 26 years of newly constructed trade and tariff …

East Asia, for long the epitome of successful engagement in trade, faces serious challenges: technological change that … global trade giant, which is fundamentally altering the trading patterns and opportunities of its neighbors. The second is … the asymmetric implementation of national reform – in goods trade and investment versus services – which is affecting the …

Does "infant industry" preferential access durably boost export performance? This paper exploits significant trade …-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) in 2005 is used to assess whether apparel export expansions survived the erosion of preferences. To find a … causal impact of these changes, we use a triple-differences regression and 26 years of newly constructed trade and tariff …

This paper attempts to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty on overall trade and trade linked to global … negative impact of policy uncertainty on overall trade growth. A 1 percent increase in uncertainty is associated with a 0 ….02 percentage point reduction in the growth of goods and services trade, implying that the increase in policy uncertainty since mid …

Does "infant industry" preferential access durably boost export performance? This paper exploits significant trade … constructed trade and tariff data at the country-product-year level (1992-2017). The analysis finds that the AGOA boosted African … Central and Western Africa. Firm-level customs data for selected countries reveal that even in East Africa, the recent export …

Should the China-U.S. trade agreement prompt relief because it averts a damaging trade war or concern because selective … States and China would be better off under this "managed trade" agreement than if the trade war had escalated. However …-supplying neighbor, Mexico. Real incomes in the rest of world would decline by 0.16 percent and in China by 0.38 percent because of trade …

This edition of Global Trade Watch addresses three questions concerning recent trade developments: What is happening …? Why? Does it matter? 2016 is the fifth consecutive year of sluggish trade growth and the year with the weakest trade … performance since the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis. Current estimates of growth in the volumes of trade in goods …