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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
uncertainty as well as disagreement among CPI inflation forecasters to account for different dimensions of uncertainty. Based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011533201
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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
uncertainty as well as disagreement among CPI inflation forecasters to account for different dimensions of uncertainty. Based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
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Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations : a new model and new facts
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2020 - This version: August 11, 2020
The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263320
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What drives updates of inflation expectations? A Bayesian VAR analysis for the G-7 countries
Belke, Ansgar; Beckmann, Joscha; Dubova, Irina - 2018
Inflation expectations play a crucial role for monetary policy transmission, having become even more important since … determinants of professional inflation expectations for the G7 economies. We emphasize the role of international spillovers in … inflation expectations stemming from monetary policy decisions in the US. We also consider several possible determinants, such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892023
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Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2020
The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269586
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Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations: A new model and new facts
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2020
The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012321903
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Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations: a new model and new facts
Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2020 - This version: September 9, 2020
The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317339
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The Greek debt crisis: Likely causes, mechanics and outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael G.; Tsoukalas, John D. - 2010
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274777
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The Greek debt crisis: Likely causes, mechanics and outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael G.; Tsoukalas, John D. - 2010
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288861
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The Greek Debt Crisis: Likely Causes, Mechanics and Outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael G.; Tsoukalas, John D. - CESifo - 2010
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799726