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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
uncertainty as well as disagreement among CPI inflation forecasters to account for different dimensions of uncertainty. Based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011533201
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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
uncertainty as well as disagreement among CPI inflation forecasters to account for different dimensions of uncertainty. Based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
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Capital flows and GDP in emerging economies and the role of global spillovers
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2017
This paper provides a global analysis of capital flow impacts on GDP for selected emerging economies. As additional control variables, we also include currency reserves and effective exchange rates in our analysis. We distinguish between gross and net capital flows and also assess the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776962
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What drives updates of inflation expectations? A Bayesian VAR analysis for the G-7 countries
Belke, Ansgar; Beckmann, Joscha; Dubova, Irina - 2018
Inflation expectations play a crucial role for monetary policy transmission, having become even more important since … determinants of professional inflation expectations for the G7 economies. We emphasize the role of international spillovers in … inflation expectations stemming from monetary policy decisions in the US. We also consider several possible determinants, such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892023
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The Greek debt crisis: Likely causes, mechanics and outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael G.; Tsoukalas, John D. - 2010
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274777
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The Greek debt crisis: Likely causes, mechanics and outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael G.; Tsoukalas, John D. - 2010
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288861
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The Greek Debt Crisis: Likely Causes, Mechanics and Outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael G.; Tsoukalas, John D. - CESifo - 2010
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799726
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Monetary policy shocks, expectations and information rigidities
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2018
This paper contributes to the literature by assessing expectation effects from monetary policy for the G7 economies. We consider a sample period running from 1995M1 to 2016M6 based on a panel VAR framework, which accounts for international spillovers and time-variation. Relying on a broad set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853950
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Monetary policy shocks, expectations and information rigidities
Czudaj, Robert; Beckmann, Joscha - 2018
This paper contributes to the literature by assessing expectation effects from monetary policy for the G7 economies. We consider a sample period running from 1995M1 to 2016M6 based on a panel VAR framework, which accounts for international spillovers and time-variation. Relying on a broad set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892078
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Monetary policy shocks, expectations and information rigidities
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2018
This paper contributes to the literature by assessing expectation effects from monetary policy for the G7 economies. We consider a sample period running from 1995M1 to 2016M6 based on a panel VAR framework, which accounts for international spillovers and time-variation. Relying on a broad set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806725