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See also <I>Proceedings of Banca d' Italia Public Finance Workshop on "Rules and Institutions for Sound Fiscal Policy after the Crisis"</I> (pp. 443-475). Rome: Banca d'Italia.<P> and<P> 'From Budgetary Forecasts to Ex Post Fiscal Data: Exploring the Evolution of Fiscal Forecast Errors in the European Union'...</p></p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255896
This paper explores the determinants of deviations of ex-post budget outcomes from first-release outcomes published towards the end of the year of budget implementation. The predictive content of the first-release outcomes is important, because these figures are an input for the next budget and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643509
This paper explores the determinants of deviations of ex-post budget outcomes from first-release outcomes published towards the end of the year of budget implementation. The predictive content of the first-release outcomes is important, because these figures are an input for the next budget and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325661
This paper explores the determinants of deviations of ex-post budget outcomes from first-release outcomes published towards the end of the year of budget implementation. The predictive content of the first-release outcomes is important, because these figures are an input for the next budget and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386471
The paper proposes a theoretical analysis illustrating some key policy trade-offs involved in the implementation of a rules-based fiscal framework reminiscent of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). The analysis offers some insights on the current debate about the SGP. Specifically, greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604479
Using real-time data from the annual budgets over the period 1958–2009, we explore budgetary planning and implementation in the Netherlands. Three fiscal policy regimes are distinguished. Our key findings are the following. First, plans are on average unbiased, although they are overoptimistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056271
. IFCs' role is to mitigate this imperfection. Equilibrium public debt is excessive because policymakers are "partisan" and … IFC as the debt bias would fall. However, when other considerations eclipse competence and give the incumbent a strong … electoral advantage or disadvantage, setting up an IFC may be counterproductive as the debt bias would increase. If the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804406
Because they exert cross-border spillover effects, fiscal policies of individual EU member states are a common concern for the entire EU.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013343163
its successor. This leads to a bias for excessive debt, especially if the probability of being removed from office is … optimal second-best restriction on public debt exceeds the level of public debt that would prevail under the socially optimal …) investment in ideological projects, the current government perceives a large benefit of a debt reduction. However, debt and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788968
pensions, population ageing, government budget deficit and debt, European Union Stability and Growth Pact. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577473