Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...

We identify flight-to-safety (FTS) days for 23 countries using only stock and bond returns and a model averaging approach. FTS days comprise less than 2% of the sample, and are associated with a 2.7% average bond-equity return differential and significant flows out of equity funds and into...

We identify flight-to-safety (FTS) days for 23 countries using only stock and bond returns and a model averaging approach. FTS days comprise less than 2% of the sample, and are associated with a 2.7% average bond-equity return differential and significant flows out of equity funds and into...

2018 was an interesting year. While headline Indian indexes held steady, the broader set of Indian equities suffered a bear market with average stock down nearly 40 to 50%. In this article, we look at warning signs that were present leading up to 2018. Further, via the performance of mid and...

We identify flight-to-safety (FTS) days for 23 countries using only stock and bond returns and a model averaging approach. FTS days comprise less than 2% of the sample, and are associated with a 2.7% average bond-equity return differential and significant flows out of equity funds and into...

While the earnings recovery has yet to realize itself, equity markets in India have continued to move up. As indices have moved up while earnings have largely failed to keep pace, valuations, to the extent that one bases them on the current earnings power of the business, have increasingly...

As equity markets have continued to move up and the current bull market has entered its ninth year, market participants have voiced concerns over elevated valuation levels. Several market participants including Hussman and GMO have voiced concerns that equity markets are currently priced to...

An investor, as Warren Buffett, said should think like a part-owner when investing in common stocks. As a part-owner, the investor should be concerned about the competitive positioning of the business he/she is invested in. A business that is relatively insulated from competitive actions, will...

Many market participants continuously dole out advice that higher economic growth results in higher investment returns. This tendency persists even though there has been much investment research providing evidence to the contrary. With the help of some examples and data presented by others, the...

Using only daily data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety (FTS) episodes for 23 countries. On average, FTS days comprise less than 3% of the sample, and bond returns exceed equity returns by 2.5 to 4%. The majority of FTS events are country-specific not...