Before 2009, the market average price earnings ratio of Chinese firms is significantly higher than that of the U.S. firms, while after 2009, the valuation gap reverses. Using data from 1995 to 2018, we examine the dynamics and sources of valuation differentials between comparable Chinese and...

The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases...

We use non-Gaussian features in U.S. macroeconomic data to identify aggregate supply and demand shocks while imposing minimal economic assumptions. Recessions in the 1970s and 1980s were driven primarily by supply shocks, later recessions were driven primarily by demand shocks, and the Great...