Corporate bond returns in the major developed economies increase with risk, as measured by maturity and ratings. From a …

We identify the relative importance of changes in the conditional variance of fundamentals (which we call "uncertainty …") and changes in risk aversion ("risk" for short) in the determination of the term structure, equity prices, and risk … premiums. Theoretically, we introduce persistent time-varying uncertainty about the fundamentals in an external habit model …

estimate "macro risk factors" that drive "bad" (negatively skewed) and "good" (positively skewed) variation for supply and … significantly contribute to the variation yields, risk premiums and return variances for nominal bonds. While overall bond risk … premiums are counter-cyclical, an increase in demand variance lowers risk premiums …