We decompose 5 year nominal bond yields into real and inflation components in an international context using inflation-linked and nominal bonds. Real rate variation dominates the variation in inflation-linked and nominal yields, but liquidity and inflation risk premiums are also important....

Building on intuition from the dynamic asset pricing literature, we uncover unobserved risk aversion and fundamental uncertainty from the observed time series of the variance premium and the credit spread while controlling for the conditional variance, expectations about the macroeconomic...

We use 92,632,873 daily returns for 33,010 US firms to establish the best forecasting model for realized idiosyncratic variances. Comparing forecasts from 10 different models, we find that the most popular models, the martingale and GARCH type models, perform worst. Using the...

We investigate whether the globalization process of the last thirty years has lead to “convergence” of asset prices in a wide set of countries, encompassing both developed and emerging markets. We examine several measures of convergence for interest rates (real and nominal) and bond and...

We introduce a "bad environment-good environment" technology for consumption growth in a consumption-based asset pricing model. Using the preference structure from Campbell and Cochrane (1999), the model generates realistic time-varying volatility, skewness and kurtosis in fundamentals while...

We introduce a "bad environment-good environment" technology for consumption growth in a consumption-based asset pricing model. Using the preference structure from Campbell and Cochrane (1999), the model generates realistic non-Gaussian features of fundamentals while still permitting closed-form...