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We use 92,632,873 daily returns for 33,010 US firms to establish the best forecasting model for realized idiosyncratic variances. Comparing forecasts from 10 different models, we find that the most popular models, the martingale and GARCH type models, perform worst. Using the...
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tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the …
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