This paper analyses the adjustment grade and speed of interest rates term structure in Spain to changes in official interest rateo For this purpose, we specify and estimate an error-correction model, which considers the anticipation of future policy monetary and this allows obtaining an...

This paper analyzes the behavior of Ibex35 from January 1999 to December 2001, in order to check if it follows a different process from random walk so its return is not a white noise and it can be predictable, against the efficient market hypothesis. For that, a nonlinear generating process of...

The changes that had occurred in the Spanish debt market, the intemationalization of the Spanish Economy and the financial uncertainty, have influenced the level and the shape of the public debt yield curve. The purpose of this paper is to examine the determinants of the differential between...

The one-factor version of the Cox, Ingersoll and Ross model of the term structure is estimated at monthly frequency for the 1991 to 1995 period, using public debt prices. The results obtained indicate that the model capture successfully the pattern of public debt prices. However, the model...

This paper examines the temporal relationship of Spanish public debt interest rates over the period from January 1991 to November 1994 between end-of-month observations of Treasury rates of different maturities, ranging from three months to ten years. Applying the cointegration theory, we find...

Nonlinearly mean-reverting models can explain the high short-term volatility ofthe real exchange rate and the slow speed of adjustment to the equilibrium level. Anonlinearly mean-reverting model is used in this paper to fit to euro-dollar realexchange rate. This model implies that near...

This paper provides evidence that the expected real term structure contains information about the future real economic growth. We follow Harvey who uses the consumption-based asset-pricing model to derive a forecasting equation that links the stage of the yield curve to expected economic growth....

Controversy has recently begun within the European Monetary Union in relation to the fiscal policy role as a stabilizing instrument of european economies. Detken (1999) takes part in this debate by introducing a theoretical model which implies that fiscal policy is more effective the less the...

This paper analyses the term premia in the Spanish public debt market over the period from January of 1991 to December of 1995. The purpose is to determine the hypothesis that explains the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates in the Spanish public debt market. We obtain...

This paper provides an empirical test of the Fisher effect and of the real interest parity. The objetive is to determinate the behavior of the ex-ante real interest that condicionate the intertemporal savings and investment decisions. The method used is the time series properties of the data,...