Bei technologischen Dienstleistungen - wie bei Dienstleistungen insgesamt - hat Deutschland seit langem ein Defizit in der Leistungsbilanz. Dies wird häufig als Indikator für die geringe Leistungsfähigkeit Deutschlands in einem wichtigen Vorleistungsbereich verstanden. Deutschlands Position...

Bei technologischen Dienstleistungen - wie bei Dienstleistungen insgesamt - hat Deutschland seit langem ein Defizit in der Leistungsbilanz. Dies wird häufig als Indikator für die geringe Leistungsfähigkeit Deutschlands in einem wichtigen Vorleistungsbereich verstanden. Deutschlands Position...

This paper investigates the empirical relevance of different unemployment theories in three major economies, namely the UK, the US and Japan, by estimating the degree of dependence in the unemployment series. Both univariate and multivariate long memory methods are used. The results vary...

In the debate on global imbalances, the euro area countries did not receive much attention so far. While the current account is on balance for the entire area, divergences between individual member states have increased since the introduction of the common currency. In this paper, the imbalances...

This study is motivated by the development of credit-related instruments and signals of stock price movements of large banks during the recent financial crisis. What is common to most of the empirical studies in this field is that they concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However,...

This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...

This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...

This paper tackles the issue of cross-section dependence for the monetary exchange rate model in the presence of unobserved common factors using panel data from 1973 until 2007 for 19 OECD countries. Applying a principal component analysis we distinguish between common factors and idiosyncratic...