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Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond : a global VAR approach
Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2016
This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically, using a structurally stable global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. For our purposes, the individual EU countries, as well as the most important international trading partners, are modelled with a special...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011581983
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Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond : a global VAR approach
Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2016
This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically using a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. Our aim is to look at the sign and the absolute values of fiscal spillovers in a country-wise perspective and at the time profile (impulse response) of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570987
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Is euro area demand (still) stable? : cointegrated VAR versus single equation techniques
Belke, Ansgar; Czudaj, Robert - 2010
In this paper we present an empirically stable euro area money demand model. Using a sample period until 2009:2 shows that the current financial and economic crisis that started in 2007 does not appear to have any noticeable impact on the stability of the euro area money demand function. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208785
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International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty : a FAVAR approach
Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2017
shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …. Uncertainty does not only impact that country where the shock originates but also has large cross-border effects. In that respect … the responses of national variables to a (foreign) uncertainty shock, indicating evidence of an international business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640939
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International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty : a FAVAR approach
Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2017
shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …. Uncertainty does not only impact that country where the shock originates but also has large cross-border effects. In that respect … the responses of national variables to a (foreign) uncertainty shock, indicating evidence of an international business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110907
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International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty : a FAVAR approach
Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2017
shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …. Uncertainty does not only impact that country where the shock originates but also has large cross-border effects. In that respect … the responses of national variables to a (foreign) uncertainty shock, indicating evidence of an international business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691548
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Exports and capacity constraints : evidence for several euro area countries
Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2015
We argue that, under certain conditions, firms consider exports as a substitute for domestic demand. Our econometric model for six euro area countries suggests domestic demand and capacity constraints as additional variables for export equations. We apply the exponential and logistic variant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300368
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Is euro area money demand (still) stable? : cointegrated VAR versus single equation techniques
Belke, Ansgar; Czudaj, Robert - 2010
applied for this purpose in previous studies. -- ARDL model ; cointegration ; euro area ; financial crisis ; money demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003939738
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Is euro area money demand (still) stable? : cointegrated VAR versus single equation techniques
Belke, Ansgar; Czudaj, Robert - 2010
applied for this purpose in previous studies. -- ARDL model ; cointegration ; euro area ; financial crisis ; money demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003941679
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Exports and capacity constraints : a smooth transition regression model for six euro area countries
Belke, Ansgar; Oeking, Anne; Setzer, Ralph - 2013
Traditional specifications of export equations incorporate foreign demand as a demand pull factor and the real exchange rate as a relative price variable. However, such standard export equations have failed to explain the export performance of euro area countries during the crisis period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195462