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Bank efficiency and regional growth in Europe : new evidence from micro-data

Belke, Ansgar; Haskamp, Ulrich; Setzer, Ralph - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619943

(When) should a non-euro country join the banking union?

Belke, Ansgar; Dobrzańska, Anna; Gros, Daniel; Smaga, Pawel - 2016

We analyze the benefits and costs of a non-euro country opting-in to the banking union. The decision to opt-in depends on the comparison between the assessment of the banking union attractiveness and the robustness of a national safety net. The benefits of opting-in are still only potential and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011575977

Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond : a global VAR approach

Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2016

This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically, using a structurally stable global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. For our purposes, the individual EU countries, as well as the most important international trading partners, are modelled with a special...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011581983

Policy uncertainty and international financial markets : the case of Brexit

Belke, Ansgar; Dubova, Irina; Osowski, Thomas - 2016

This study assesses the impact of Brexit uncertainty on the UK and also on international financial markets, for the first and the second statistical moments. As financial markets are highly linked in general and several countries apart from the UK might be negatively affected, one may expect...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582007

Business cycle synchronization in the EMU : core vs. periphery

Belke, Ansgar; Domnick, Clemens; Gros, Daniel - 2016

This paper examines business cycle synchronization in the European Monetary Union with a special focus on the core-periphery pattern in the aftermath of the crisis. Using a quarterly index for business cycle synchronization by Cerqueira (2013), our panel data estimates suggest that it is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582248

International effects of euro area versus US policy uncertainty : a FAVAR approach

Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2017

prices, equity prices, and interest rates. Uncertainty shocks cause deeper recessions in Continental Europe (except Germany … Aktienkurse und die Zinssätze. Unsicherheitsschocks führen zu stärkeren Rezessionen in Kontinentaleuropa (mit Ausnahme Deutschland … Auswirkungen. In dieser Hinsicht erweist sich die Schweiz als das am stärksten betroffene Land in Europa außerhalb der Eurozone …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640939

Central bank communication : managing expectations through the monetary dialogue

Belke, Ansgar - 2017

Successfully managing a course back to normality ("exit") will depend crucially on the central banks' ability to communicate effectively a credible strategy for an orderly exit from such kind of policies. In this context, clear, deliberate, coordinated messages that are anchored in the central...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011644116

The economic impact of Brexit : evidence from modelling free trade agreements

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2017

This paper assesses the economic implications of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union. The basic data on trade in goods and services and investment between the two parties suggest that cost of ‘Brexit’ could be substantial. Trade between the UK and the EU27 is large and of a similar...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662701

On the shock-absorbing properties of a banking union : Europe compared with the United States

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - In: Comparative economic studies 58 (2016) 3, pp. 359-386

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011665381

State-of-play in implementing macroeconomic adjustment programmes in the euro area

Gros, Daniel; Alcidi, Cinzia; Belke, Ansgar; Coutinho, … - 2014

Two of the four macroeconomic adjustment programmes, Portugal and Ireland’s, can be considered a success in the sense that the initial expectations in terms of adjustment, both fiscal and external, were broadly fulfilled. A rebound based on exports has taken hold in these two countries, but a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429261