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Dividend Yields for Forecasting Stock Market Returns. An ARDL Cointegration Analysis for Germany
Belke, Ansgar; Polleit, Thorsten - In: Ekonomia 9 (2006) 1, pp. 86-116
This paper empirically assesses the ability of dividend yields to predict future tock returns in Germany assuming efficient markets and rational expectations. Since the order of integration of repressors are not exactly known, a bound procedure, namely a n autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005524085
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Volatility patterns of CDS, bond and stock markets before and during the financial crisis : evidence from major financial institutions
Belke, Ansgar; Gokus, Christian - In: International journal of economics and finance 6 (2014) 7, pp. 53-70
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384712
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Volatility patterns of CDS, bond and stock markets before and during the financial crisis : evidence from major financial institutions
Belke, Ansgar; Gokus, Christian - 2011
concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However, financial time series exhibit certain stylized features such as volatility … to address this issue and to gain insights on the volatility patterns of CDS spreads, bond yield spreads and stock prices … creditworthiness of debtors more reliably. The obtained findings suggest that volatility takes a significant higher level in times of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010209431
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Stock prices - a challenge for central banks
Belke, Ansgar; Kösters, Wim; Leschke, Martin; Polleit, … - In: International coordination of monetary policy, (pp. 42-53). 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001742003
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Volatility patterns of CDS, bond and stock markets before and during the financial crisis : evidence from major financial institutions
Belke, Ansgar; Gokus, Christian - 2011
concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However, financial time series exhibit certain stylized features such as volatility … to address this issue and to gain insights on the volatility patterns of CDS spreads, bond yield spreads and stock prices … creditworthiness of debtors more reliably. The obtained findings suggest that volatility takes a significant higher level in times of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935244
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Volatility patterns of CDS, bond and stock markets before and during the financial crisis : evidence from major financial institutions
Belke, Ansgar; Gokus, Christian - 2011
concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However, financial time series exhibit certain stylized features such as volatility … to address this issue and to gain insights on the volatility patterns of CDS spreads, bond yield spreads and stock prices … creditworthiness of debtors more reliably. The obtained findings suggest that volatility takes a significant higher level in times of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009347974
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Policy uncertainty and international financial markets: The case of Brexit
Belke, Ansgar; Dubova, Irina; Osowski, Thomas - 2016
This study assesses the impact of the uncertainty caused by Brexit, on both the UK and international financial markets, for the first and second statistical moments (i.e. on changes and the standard deviations of the respective variables.) As financial markets are by nature highly interlinked,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011572138
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Policy uncertainty and international financial markets: The case of Brexit
Belke, Ansgar; Dubova, Irina; Osowski, Thomas - 2016
This study assesses the impact of Brexit uncertainty on the UK and also on international financial markets, for the first and the second statistical moments. As financial markets are highly linked in general and several countries apart from the UK might be negatively affected, one may expect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622972
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Policy uncertainty and international financial markets : the case of Brexit
Belke, Ansgar; Dubova, Irina; Osowski, Thomas - 2016
This study assesses the impact of Brexit uncertainty on the UK and also on international financial markets, for the first and the second statistical moments. As financial markets are highly linked in general and several countries apart from the UK might be negatively affected, one may expect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582007
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Policy uncertainty and international financial markets : the case of Brexit
Belke, Ansgar; Dubova, Irina; Osowski, Thomas - 2016
This study assesses the impact of the uncertainty caused by Brexit, on both the UK and international financial markets, for the first and second statistical moments (i.e. on changes and the standard deviations of the respective variables.) As financial markets are by nature highly interlinked,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570794