In this paper we highlight a new channel through which dollar fluctuations can become a self-fulfilling pro-cyclical force. We call this mechanism "Imperial Circle" as it makes the dollar the dominant macroeconomic variable in the context of the current international monetary system. At the core...

After liberalizing international transactions of financial assets, many countries experiencelarge swings in asset prices, capital flows, and aggregate production. This paper studies howthe adjustment to capital account liberalization depends upon the degree of development of adomestic financial...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the effects of alternative monetary rules on realexchange rate persistence. Using a two-country stochastic dynamic general equilibrium withnominal price stickiness and local currency pricing, we will show how the persistence ofpurchasing power parity...

This paper shows that properly designed interest rate rules can be consistent withmaintaining exchange rate stability. It sheds light on the relation between interest rate rules,exchange rate regimes, and determinacy of the rational expectation equilibrium in a modernmacroeconomic framework.[...]

We propose a theory of exchange rate determination under interestrate rules in a two-country model. We first show that simpleinterest rate feedback rules can determine a unique and stableequilibrium without any explicit reaction to the nominal exchangerate.We characterize how the behavior of the...

This paper addresses the consumption–real exchange rate anomaly.International real business cycle models based on complete financialmarkets predict a unitary correlation between the realexchange rate and the ratio of home to foreign consumptionwhen subjected to supply-side shocks. In the data,...