-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …

inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …

-shaped relation between the membership size of MPCs and inflation; our results suggest that the lowest level of inflation is reached … at MPCs with about seven to ten members. Similar results are obtained for other measures, such as inflation variability …

We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …

money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …

-shaped relation between the membership size of MPCs and inflation; our results suggest that the lowest level of inflation is reached … at MPCs with about seven to ten members. Similar results are obtained for other measures, such as inflation variability …

-shaped relation between the membership size of MPCs and inflation; our results suggest that the lowest level of inflation is reached … at MPCs with about seven to ten members. Similar results are obtained for other measures, such as inflation variability …

area liquidity. U.S. excess liquidity also enters consistently positive as a determinant of euro area inflation. There is …