Recently developed models of exchange rate dynamics emphasize the expectational effects of infrequent intervention. This paper proposes a stylized probabilistic framework in which such effects can be studied along with realistic concerns about the sustainability of the intervention policy. In...

Recent contribution emphasize that the presence of exchange rate target zones has important effects on the within-band behaviour of exchange rates. We show that the implications of available models are strikingly inconsistent with European Monetary System data, and we propose a model of...