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The objectives are to discern how the three financial sectors' CDS spreads interrelate to each other and with three other risks under the full sample and two subperiods: The 2007 Great Recession, and the 2009 recovery, and to assess the impact of QE1 on those risks in the second subperiod. The...
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We investigate the cyclical component dynamics of US macroeconomic variables and oil benchmark prices in a regime-switching environment. We compare two different oil benchmark cycles, and the results indicate that WTI and Brent are not perfect substitutes in the US economy when it comes to...
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This paper examines the dynamic interrelationships among four highly internationally traded commodities, oil, copper, gold and silver and three commodity-relevant financial variables including short-run interest rate, exchange rate and the world equity index. We explore these interrelationships...
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The oil market is characterized by several hundreds of different grades of crude extracted from various locations on the planet, but prices of those grades are structured with reference to only a handful of benchmark varieties. In this context, the ability to predict near term benchmark oil...
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