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This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906234
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers … the stochastic volatility model with asymmetry and long memory, using high frequency data for the underlying asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590424
One of the most popular univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models is the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification. In addition to asymmetry, which captures the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … subsequent shocks to volatility. However, the statistical properties of the (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimator of the EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392823
One of the most popular univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models is the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification. In addition to asymmetry, which captures the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … subsequent shocks to volatility. However, there are as yet no statistical properties available for the (quasi-) maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362978
degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366935
Of the two most widely estimated univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models, the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification can capture asymmetry, which refers to the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … shocks to volatility. However, the statistical properties of the (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) of the EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384390
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410195
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410204
, including market-based estimation of stochastic volatility models, the fine structure of equity-index option dynamics, leverage … and feedback effects in multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility for option pricing, option pricing with non …-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility, stock return and cash flow predictability: the role of volatility risk, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465152