Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 720
Cover Image
The effect of the great moderation on the US business cycle in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew; Koopman, Siem Jan; Zivot, Eric - 2008
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
Cover Image
Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle: a Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area
e Azevedo, Joao Valle; Koopman, Siem Jan; Rua, Antonio - 2003
This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324815
Cover Image
Tracking growth and the business cycle : a stochastic common cycle model for the Euro area
Azevedo, João Valle e; Koopman, Siem Jan; Rua, António - 2003
This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334364
Cover Image
Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle : A Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area
Valle e Azevedo, João; Koopman, Siem Jan; Rua, Antonio - 2003
This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075576
Cover Image
Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times : a replication of the VAR investigation by Bloom (2009)
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Nodari, Gabriela - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533683
Cover Image
ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen
Sauer, Stefan; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2020
Das vorliegende Handbuch soll einen Überblick über die Befragungen des ifo Instituts sowie die daraus resultierenden Konjunkturindikatoren und deren Verwendung für die Prognose volkswirtschaftlicher Kennzahlen liefern. Des Weiteren ist es als Interpretationshilfe für den Umgang mit den...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157629
Cover Image
ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen
Sauer, Stefan; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2020
Das vorliegende Handbuch soll einen Überblick über die Befragungen des ifo Instituts sowie die daraus resultierenden Konjunkturindikatoren und deren Verwendung für die Prognose volkswirtschaftlicher Kennzahlen liefern. Des Weiteren ist es als Interpretationshilfe für den Umgang mit den...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157168
Cover Image
The unprecedented stock market reaction to COVID-19
Baker, Scott; Bloom, Nicholas; Davis, Steven J.; Kost, Kyle - In: Review of asset pricing studies : RAPS 10 (2020) 4, pp. 742-758
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012318204
Cover Image
The unprecedented stock market reaction to Covid-19
Baker, Scott; Bloom, Nicholas; Davis, Steven J.; Kost, Kyle - In: Covid economics : vetted and real-time papers (2020) 1, pp. 33-42
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209942
Cover Image
Likelihood-based Analysis for Dynamic Factor Models
Jungbacker, Borus; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2008
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325750