The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the E/US-$ rate. The results indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by professional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational expectations hypothesis. This dismal result is according to...

In this paper we formalize the framework for monetary and exchange rate policy presented in Bofinger and Wollmershäuser [2001a]. We develop a simple comparative static model for an open economy that allows us to discuss monetary policy under the exchange rate strategies of independently...

The actual mainstream view of academics emphasizes the so-called two corner solution with either completely fixed or independently floating exchange rates. We will argue in this paper that the requirements for fixed rates are very restrictive to be successful. On the other hand, the advantage of...