Showing 31 - 40 of 190
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022409
individual equity covariances with the market. Working in the recently-popularized framework of realized volatility, we are led …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022455
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic … empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning literature, with a distinct focus on forecasting applications. Volatility is … inherently latent, and Section 1 begins with a brief intuitive account of various key volatility concepts. Section 2 then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005150191
A rapidly growing literature has documented important improvements in volatility measurement and forecasting … provides a practical framework for non-parametrically measuring the jump component in realized volatility measurements … an easy-to implement reduced form model for realized volatility results in highly significant jump coefficient estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005150230
Using a new dataset consisting of six years of real-time exchange rate quotations, macroeconomic expectations, and macroeconomic realizations (announcements), we characterize the conditional means of U.S. dollar spot exchange rates versus German Mark, British Pound, Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005720437
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic … empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning literature, with a distinct focus on forecasting applications. Volatility is … inherently latent, and Section 1 begins with a brief intuitive account of various key volatility concepts. Section 2 then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829302
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … variation, we formally develop the links between the conditional covariancematrix and the concept of realized volatility. Next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005774835
We develop an empirically highly accurate discrete-time daily stochastic volatility model that explicitly distinguishes … inter-dependencies among the shocks to returns and the two different volatility components. The model estimates suggest that … the leverage effect, or asymmetry between returns and volatility, works primarily through the continuous volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549011
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126708
individual equity covariances with the market. Working in the recently-popularized framework of realized volatility, we are led …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005102075