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Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits … asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between … the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the volatility, is distinctly less persistent and appears short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014190565
Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits … asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between … the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the volatility, is distinctly less persistent and appears short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144799
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock market returns. We demonstrate that statistical finite sample biases cannot “explain” this apparent predictability. Further corroborating the existing evidence of the U.S., we show that country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109053
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock market returns. We demonstrate that statistical finite sample biases cannot “explain” this apparent predictability. Further corroborating the existing evidence of the U.S., we show that country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115149
market volatility, but the risk premium for tail events cannot solely be explained by the level of the volatility. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158966
We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index suggests both large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133667
direct estimation of the underlying “structural” shocks and economic transmission mechanisms, including a new volatility … implications from a long-run risk model incorporating both time varying volatility and volatility uncertainty. We provide new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097882
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462640
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499728
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009749332