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It is well known that high-frequency asset returns are fat-tailed relative to the Gaussian distribution, and that the fat tails are typically reduced but not eliminated when returns are standardized by volatilities estimated from popular ARCH and stochastic volatility models. We consider two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004300
We test for price discontinuities, or jumps, in a panel of high-frequency intraday returns for forty large-cap stocks and an equiweighted index from these same stocks. Jumps are naturally classified into two types: common and idiosyncratic. Common jumps affect all stocks, albeit to varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787560
We propose new asymmetric multivariate volatility models. The models exploit estimates of variances and covariances based on the signs of high-frequency returns, measures known as realized semivariances, semicovariances, and semicorrelations, to allow for more nuanced responses to positive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921351
the corresponding daily returns. A relatively simple multivariate time series model for the daily house price index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011118617
Based on a unique high-frequency dataset for more than fifty commodities, currencies, equity indices, and fixed income instruments spanning more than two decades, we document strong similarities in realized volatilities patterns across assets and asset classes. Exploiting these similarities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970195
We propose a novel and easy-to-implement framework for forecasting correlation risks based on a large set of salient realized correlation features and the sparsity-encouraging LASSO technique. Considering the universe of S&P 500 stocks, we find that the new approach manifests in statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235631
choose the thresholds to maximize the out-ofsample forecast performance of time series models based on realized partial (co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249756
I provide a selective review of recent developments in financial econometrics related to measuring, modeling, forecasting and pricing “good” and “bad” volatilities based on realized variation type measures constructed from high-frequency intraday data. An especially appealing feature of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607048
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