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This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the … episodes and find evidence that inflation and interest rate shocks had particularly strong impacts on market conditions in the … postwar era. Disinflation shocks promoted market booms and inflation shocks contributed to busts. We conclude that central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771830
This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the … episodes and find evidence that inflation and interest rate shocks had particularly strong impacts on market conditions in the … postwar era. Disinflation shocks promoted market booms and inflation shocks contributed to busts. We conclude that central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464627
Over the past decade and a half Axel Leijonhufvud has written extensively on monetary regimes and their connection to nominal and real economic performance. Monetary regimes are important because they determine whether countries follow stable or unstable monetary policies and hence have stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577057
"This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the … episodes and find evidence that inflation and interest rate shocks had particularly strong impacts on market conditions in the … postwar era. Disinflation shocks promoted market booms and inflation shocks contributed to busts. We conclude that central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003741414
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003724838
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001167996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001230540
Does the yield curve's ability to predict future output and recessions differ when interest rates are low, as in the current global environment? In this paper we build on recent econometric work by Shi, Phillips, and Hurn that detects changes in the causal impact of the yield curve and relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822664
Does the yield curve's ability to predict future output and recessions differ when interest rates are low, as in the current global environment? In this paper we build on recent econometric work by Shi, Phillips and Hurn that detects changes in the causal impact of the yield curve and relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481239
Does the yield curve’s ability to predict future output and recessions differ when interest rates and inflation are low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237747