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The economics literature lacks articles that provide a broad roadmap-let alone a logical explanation-of the new set of Federal Reserve policy tools that were created to counter the COVID-19 recession. This study provides an overview of the motivation for these new credit-easing programs-namely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800421
This paper surveys the co-evolution of monetary policy and financial stability for a number of countries across four exchange rate regimes from 1880 to the present. Historical evidence is presented on the incidence, costs and determinants of financial crises along with some empirical evidence on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922048
The relatively infrequent nature of major credit distress events makes a historical approach particularly useful. Using a combination of historical narrative and econometric techniques, we identify major periods of credit distress from 1875 to 2007, examine the extent to which credit distress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144427
This paper studies the macroeconomic conditions and policy environments under which stock market booms occurred among ten developed countries during the 20th Century. We find that booms tended to occur during periods of above-average growth of real output, and below-average and falling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732928
This paper examines the association between monetary policy and stock market booms and busts in the United States, United Kingdom, and Germany during the 20th century. Booms tended to arise when output growth was rapid and inflation was low, and end within a few months of an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730078
omission came to the fore in the Great Contraction 1929 to 1933 when the Fed failed to prevent four banking panics which turned … shift contributed to moral hazard and created new threats to financial stability with the rise of the ‘shadow banking system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117357
countries between 1920 and 2000 suggest these are not general relationships. Credit booms heighten the probability of a banking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603328
We identify the timing of currency, banking crises and sudden stops in New Zealand from 1880 to 2008 using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008495355
Does the yield curve's ability to predict future output and recessions differ when interest rates are low, as in the current global environment? In this paper we build on recent econometric work by Shi, Phillips, and Hurn that detects changes in the causal impact of the yield curve and relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822664
established to overcome the problems of the National Banking era, in particular an “inelastic” currency and the absence of an … window and bankers acceptance-purchase facilities were expected to solve the problems that had caused banking panics in the … National Banking era. Banking panics returned with a vengeance in the 1930s, however, and we examine why the Fed failed to live …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838123