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This paper analyzes the role of transparency and credibility in accounting for the widely divergent macroeconomic effects of three episodes of deliberate monetary contraction: the post-Civil War deflation, the post-WWI deflation, and the Volcker disinflation. Using a dynamic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730571
In this paper, we examine three famous episodes of deliberate deflation (or disinflation) in U.S. history, including episodes following the Civil War, World War I, and the Volcker disinflation of the early 1980s. These episodes were associated with widely divergent effects on the real economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298354
inadequate policy tools and theory from the interwar period, set the stage for the Great Inflation of the 1970s. The lessons from … that experience have convinced monetary authorities to reemphasize the goal of low inflation, as it were, committing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024247
theory and policy in open economies. -- Exchange rate regimes ; Exchange rates ; Monetary policy framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790221
If official interventions convey private information useful for price discovery in foreign-exchange markets, then they should have value as a forecast of near-term exchange-rate movements. Using a set of standard criteria, we show that approximately 60 percent of all U.S. foreign-exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120732
The economics literature lacks articles that provide a broad roadmap-let alone a logical explanation-of the new set of Federal Reserve policy tools that were created to counter the COVID-19 recession. This study provides an overview of the motivation for these new credit-easing programs-namely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800421
The rise of inflation in 2021 and 2022 surprised many macroeconomists who ignored the earlier surge in money growth … seeks to restore low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322692
monetary policy achieved low and stable inflation once it adopted inflation targeting as a nominal anchor. Also, as Friedman … inflation targeting became a model for the conduct of monetary policy in emerging countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372411
inflation target provides more short-run price stability than does the gold standard and, although it introduces a unit root … years. Relative to these regimes, Fisher's compensated dollar (or pure price path targeting) reduces inflation uncertainty … uncertainty about inflation at long horizons. This long-run inflation uncertainty can be largely eliminated by introducing an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058864
In this paper, we examine three famous episodes of deliberate deflation (or disinflation) in U.S. history, including episodes following the Civil War, World War I, and the Volcker disinflation of the early 1980s. These episodes were associated with widely divergent effects on the real economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958695