Binary outcome models are frequently used in Political Science. However, such models have proven particularly dicult in dealing with interdependent data structures, including spatial autocorrelation, temporal autocorrelation, as well as simultaneity arising from endogenous binary regressors. In...

Scholars who study the effect of ethnicity on conflict usually refrain from considering different dimensions of ethnicity such as language and religion. In recent years, however, some have argued that conflicts are more likely to occur across religious divisions rather than linguistic ones. Such...

How do multiethnic coalitions affect the risk of violent conflict? We argue that government leaders form larger ruling coalitions as the uncertainty over violent threats from radical sub-groups increases. We formalize this argument in a novel multi-actor model. Our game-theoretic approach...