Les nouvelles technologies de l’information peuvent-elles être le vecteur d’une nouvelle ère de croissance et de prospérité ? Nombreux sont ceux qui le pensent. Pourtant, rien n’est moins sûr, surtout pour un petit pays comme la Belgique.

This paper analyzes the equilibrium dynamics of an AK-type endogenous growth model with vintage capital. The inclusion of vintage capital leads to oscillatory dynamics governed by replacement echoes, which additionally influence the intercept of the balanced growth path. These features, which...

In this paper, we present a simple vintage capital growth model in which both exogenous and endogenous fluctuations sources are present. Indeed, it can be seen as a particular case of Caballero and Hammour (1996)'s creative destruction model, with advantage that analytical characterization of...

This paper studies the conditions under which an IT revolution may endogenously occur. To this end, we construct an endogenous growth multisectoral model with a preeminent IT sector. Technological progress is embodied : New softwares can only be run on the most recent generations and hardware....

In this paper, we build up a general equilibrium model explicitly incorporating Schumpeterian growth à la Aghion and Howitt (1992) and a vintage capital structure in line with Solow (1960). In this set-up, we show that the investment rate is a fundamental determinant of the profitability of...

In order to assess the importance of embodiment, we build up an endogenous growth model in which learning by doing is the engine of both embodied and disembodied technological progress. In sharp contrast to Phelps (1962), we show that a change in the composition of technical change affects the...

Après un bref survol de la méthodologie usuelle de simulation stochastique des modèles non-linéaires, où l’on met en exergue les insuffisances tant théoriques que pratiques de l’expérimentation de Monte Carlo, on montre l’apport de la méthodologie de résolution à anticipations...

In this paper, we introduce adoption costs in a canonical vintage capital model. Adoption costs take the form of a direct loss in production during a fixed period of time. We explicitly characterize the optimal machine replacement policy as a function of the adoption period. Using an explicit...

We study how economic growth is affected by demographics in an overlapping generations model with a realistic survival law. Individuals optimally chose the dates at which they leave school to enter the labor market and at which they retire. Endogenous growth arises thanks to the accumulation of...