Ein Jahr nach der Wahl Donald Trumps zum Präsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika wurden in der Quartalsbefragung des ifo World Economic Survey weltweit Wirtschaftsexperten und in gleicher Form in der November-Umfrage des Ökonomenpanels von ifo und FAZ Professoren für...

Am 20. Januar 2021 wird Joe Biden als der 46. Präsident der USA ins Weiße Haus einziehen. Mit dem Machtwechsel in Washington werden in Deutschland und in Europa große Erwartungen und Hoffnungen verbunden. Viele versprechen sich eine Entspannung der transatlantischen Beziehungen sowie die...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

Can one single political leader influence macroeconomic expectations on a global scale? We design a large-scale survey experiment among influential economic experts working in more than 100 countries and use the 2020 US presidential election as a quasi-natural experiment to identify the effect...

Ein Jahr nach der Wahl Donald Trumps zum Präsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika wurden in der Quartalsbefragung des ifo World Economic Survey weltweit Wirtschaftsexperten und in gleicher Form in der November-Umfrage des Ökonomenpanels von ifo und FAZ Professoren für...

Can political leaders influence macroeconomic expectations on a global scale? We design a large-scale survey experiment among influential economic experts working in more than 100 countries and use the 2020 US presidential election as a quasi-natural experiment to identify the effect of the US...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...