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Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886924
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332852
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001270
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either banking crises or housing crises dampen output far more than ordinary recessions. Using a parametric panel framework … to be significantly smaller following recessions associated with banking crises or housing crises. Our paper corroborates …This paper provides statistical evidence suggesting that in industrial countries, recessions that are associated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003932600
. This bounce-back is absent following recessions associated with banking crises and housing crises. Consequently, the … permanent output losses of recessions associated with banking crises and housing crises are considerably larger than those of …We investigate whether recoveries following normal recessions differ from recoveries following recessions that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472544