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-data-knowledge provided in the real world of decision making did not allow a decision maker to specify precise, definite, exact, numerical … approaches to probability claim that ALL probabilities can be represented by a single numeral between 0 and 1 and the decision … economic decision makers were confronted with knowledge structures that were not sharp and clear, but cloudy and amorphous …
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the areas of application in which it can aid a decision maker. They both accept an interval approach to probability based … very similar views with respect to analyzing speculative bubbles, lenders versus borrowers risk assessments, the dangers of … approach to probability. Bentham’s views on probability and decision making are directly opposed to those of Smith and Keynes …
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Eight centuries ago, Thomas Aquinas clearly differentiated between probability and uncertainty in decision making. He … from the A Treatise on Probability and confidence from Keynes’s General Theory, as well as Adam Smith’s views on …’s weight of the evidence concept in Keynes’s A Treatise on Probability and confidence concept from Keynes’s General Theory …
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Keynes made it clear to Townshend in their 1937-38 exchanges that Townshend's assessment, that Keynes ‘s theory of … liquidity preference in the General Theory was based on Keynes's non numerical probabilities and weight of evidence … importance of Keynes's comments on pages 148 and 240 of the General Theory. There is absolutely no support for any heterodox and …
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The SIPTA (Society for Imprecise Probability,Theory and Application) view of Keynes's contributions to imprecise … mathematical contributions made to the theory of imprecise probability by Keynes, such as upper and lower probabilities, non … additive probabilities,sub additive probabilities, interval valued estimates, decision weights, etc, in Parts II, III, IV and V …
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axiom was that all the relevant information, data, evidence or knowledge base is complete, so that individual decision … asserted that all rational decision makers would be able to actually maximize utility and returns as long as government would … cases of the more generalized Smith – Keynes axiom set. Keynes did exactly what he said he would do in the General Theory on …
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B. Hill’s work on the “Confidence approach “ to decision making under uncertainty is based on the use of interval … on Probability in chapter 26 to Keynes’s discussions of confidence in the General Theory.None of Keynes’s technical work … in Parts II -V of the A treatise on Probability or the General Theory is ever mentioned by Hill.Hill’s overlooking of …
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