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decision making. Adam Smith applied his approach to probability and uncertainty by analyzing the economic decisions made by …
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Both Smith and Keynes have very similar conceptual approaches to what probability is, how it is used and applied and the areas of application in which it can aid a decision maker. They both accept an interval approach to probability based on inequalities and bounds versus ordinal, subjectivist...
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Eight centuries ago, Thomas Aquinas clearly differentiated between probability and uncertainty in decision making. He … uncertainty and confidence. Aquinas understood that there was much information, evidence, knowledge, or data that was missing or …
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fundamental (irreducible, deep, radical, genuine, etc.) uncertainty. What is mentioned explicitly by Keynes to Townshend is the … the 1937 QJE article represents a major or fundamental change in Keynes's view about uncertainty from those expressed in …
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in his analysis of uncertainty in his theory of the liquidity preference approach to the rate of interest in the General … Theory, where uncertainty was defined as an inverse function of the evidential weight of the argument in footnote 1 on page …
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that which underlies the Rational Expectations-Real Business Cycle – Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium approaches … that the Rational Expectations-Real Business Cycle – Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium approaches are all very special …
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