We show analytically under quite general conditions that implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as...

The most relevant practical impediment to an application of the Markowitz portfolio selection approach is the problem of estimating return moments, in particular return expectations. We analyze the consequences of using return estimates implied by analysts' dividend forecasts under the explicit...

We show analytically under quite general conditions that time-varying implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia in order to resolve the equity...

Using an event-study framework, we examine the stock market reaction to the announcement of firm withdrawal from countries designated as “State Sponsors of Terrorism” by the U.S. Department of State. We find that such announcements are, on average, linked to a statistically significant...

Our main goal is the generalization of the approach of Jobson and Korkie(1984) for funds performance evaluation. Therefore, we consider the portfolio selection problem of an investor who faces short sales restrictions when choosing among F different investment funds and assume the investor's...

Our main goal is the generalization of the approach of Jobson and Korkie(1984) for funds performance evaluation. Therefore, we consider the portfolio selection problem of an investor who faces short sales restrictions when choosing among F different investment funds and assume the investor's...

Our main goal is the generalization of the approach of Jobson and Korkie(1984) forfunds performance evaluation. Therefore, we consider the portfolio selection problem of aninvestor who faces short sales restrictions when choosing among F different investment fundsand assume the investor's...

The most relevant practical impediment to an application of the Markowitz portfolio selectionapproach is the problem of estimating return moments, in particular return expectations. We analyzethe consequences of using return estimates implied by analysts’ dividend forecasts under the...

In the literature, implied rates of return are suggested as estimators for future expected oneperiodreturns because of their property not being prone to the discount rate effect. The discount rateeffect describes the problem that changes in expected future one-period returns lead to...