Inspired by Dornbusch's model of exchange rate overshooting we develop a theory of stock market behaviour. The idea is that stock market prices overshoot and undershoot their long-run equilibrium values which are determined by the development in the real economy. The overshooting is fuelled...

DSGE (Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium) models are the common workhorse of modern macroeconomic theory. Whereas story-telling and policy analysis were in the forefront of applications since its inception, the forecasting perspective of DSGE models is only recently topical. In this study,...

Die EIoP ist ein referiertes, interdisziplinäres E-journal im Bereich der Forschung zur Europäischen Integration / Europaforschung. "Europäische Integration" ist dabei in einem weiten Sinne zu verstehen. Wissenschaftliche Beiträge aus allen relevanten Disziplinen, insbesondere aus den...